And if the 2024 election is a rematch between Biden and former President Donald Trump, about a quarter of the likely voters in this group say they would vote for someone else.įrom CalMatters criminal justice reporter Nigel Duara : The policy brief notes that half of no party preference voters dislike both parties, and that those who have negative opinions of both parties are far more pessimistic about the direction of California and the nation and have a more negative view of President Biden. So has the proportion of voters who say a third major party is needed - 71%, up from 54% in 2019. That pox-on-both-parties sentiment is up from 20% in October 2020 and has risen steadily since. Half of California voters have a negative opinion of the Democratic Party, two-thirds have a dim view of the Republican Party and one third don’t like both parties, according to a recent Public Policy Institute of California survey.

Republican battle again for Congress, a new poll suggests there might be an opening for a third party in California - if there were ever enough money and the right leaders, that is.

Seven Republican-held seats are on the scorecard, including four rated as toss-ups: the 13th represented by John Duarte, the 22nd by David Valadao, the 27th by Mike Garcia and the 41st by Ken Calvert.Īlso, the 45th District represented by Michelle Steel is a “lean Republican” and the 3rd held by Kevin Kiley and the 40th by Young Kim are likely Republican.Īll but one of these districts were also CalMatters hot races in 2022.īut while it’s a Democrat vs.

Other Democratic-held seats on Cook’s list are the 9th District represented by Josh Harder and the 49th District by Mike Levin, both rated as likely Democratic. It’s a “lean Democratic” in Cook’s ratings, and it was a CalMatters “hot race” in 2022.

One of the key races is the 47th District in Orange County, an open seat because Rep.

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